How much is the right to buy a stock in the future worth? Economics Nobel 1997. Connects calculus, PDEs, and probability in a single object.
Used in: Master's in Finance · Financial Engineering · Derivatives Desk · Market Risk
C=S⋅N(d1)−Ke−rTN(d2)
Black-Scholes Equation (1973) — price of a European call option. Where S is the current price of the asset, K the strike, r the risk-free rate, T the time to expiration, and N(·) the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal. Economics Nobel 1997.
The price St of the underlying asset follows a geometric Brownian motion under the risk-neutral measure Q:
dSt=rStdt+σStdWt
(1)
what this means · The asset price grows with expected rate r (the risk-free rate) and fluctuates with volatility σ. Wt is a standard Brownian motion — infinitesimal random steps that accumulate into a continuous walk.
Complete market, frictionless: no transaction costs, unlimited short positions, infinite divisibility.
By Itô's lemma applied to V(S,t) and construction of the replicating portfolio (long Δ shares, short 1 option), risk is eliminated and the portfolio must earn r. Thus:
∂t∂V+21σ2S2∂S2∂2V+rS∂S∂V−rV=0
(2)
what this means · It is a parabolic PDE — analogous to the heat equation in physics! The term 21σ2S2VSS is the "heat" diffusing, rSVS is a drift, and −rV is discounting. All intuition from the physics of heat applies here.
with final condition V(S,T)=max(S−K,0) for a European call.
what this means · The call price is the risk-neutral expected value of the payoff. N(d2) is the probability the call finishes in-the-money. S⋅N(d1) is the expected value of ST conditional on exercise.
where
d1=σT−tln(S/K)+(r+21σ2)(T−t),d2=d1−σT−t
(4)
what this means · The d1 measures how many standard deviations the log-price is above the log-strike, adjusted for drift. d2=d1−σT−t.
and N(⋅) is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal:
N(x)=2π1∫−∞xe−u2/2du
(5)
what this means · The famous bell curve of Gauss, integrated from minus infinity to x. It has no closed form — computed via rational approximations (Abramowitz & Stegun) or the complementary error function.
what this means · Exact relationship between European calls and puts of the same strike and expiration. If this identity breaks in the market, there is pure arbitrage — in practice, violated by fractions of a penny for seconds.
Partial sensitivities of the option price. Every derivatives desk in the world monitors these numbers.
ΔC=∂S∂C=N(d1)
(7)
what this means · Delta — how much the option price changes for each dollar move in the stock. For a deep-ITM call, Δ→1; deep-OTM, Δ→0.
Γ=∂S2∂2C=SσT−tN′(d1)
(8)
what this means · Gamma — convexity: how delta changes when price changes. Same for call and put. Largest near the strike and near expiration.
ν=∂σ∂C=ST−t⋅N′(d1)
(9)
what this means · Vega — sensitivity to volatility. Same for call and put. On the trading floor, implied vol is what you operate, not price directly.
ΘC=−2T−tSσN′(d1)−rKe−r(T−t)N(d2)
(10)
what this means · Theta — time decay: how much the option loses value per day, holding everything else constant. Θ<0 for long options — option is an asset that "melts".
To continue
Black, F.; Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy 81(3): 637-654. The original paper.
Hull, J.C.Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 11th ed., Pearson. The bible of the field.
Wilmott, P.Paul Wilmott on Quantitative Finance. Wiley. A critical, practical voice.
Gatheral, J.The Volatility Surface. Wiley. After mastering BS, this book shows how the real market works.